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Last season saw the Dolphins lose out on the final playoff spot due to missed opportunities. 

The two games often cited are Miami’s final two games of the season against the Buffalo Bills and New York Jets, but the Dolphins’ Week 5 matchup against the Baltimore Ravens comes to mind as a big missed opportunity. 

To recap the game, the Dolphins had a chance at a game-tying field goal, but Caleb Sturgis missed the 57-yard kick, allowing the Ravens to leave South Florida with a 26-23 victory. 

This season, the game might again have to be decided on the foot of Sturgis, as both teams are fairly evenly matched. 

Baltimore ranks sixth in the NFL in points scored and seventh in points allowed. The Dolphins aren’t slouches in those departments themselves, as they’re ranked 10th in points scored and sixth in points allowed. 

Their paths to these rankings have been different. Baltimore has done it behind a powerful run game led by Justin Forsett, who already has 1,009 yards and seven touchdowns on the season.

Miami’s main weapon of choice has been the short-passing game, which has allowed it to chew up clock and tire out defenses. 

In terms of defenses, Miami looked like it was exposed against the run in the last two weeks and will face its toughest opponent in the run category this week.

Unlike the New York Jets though, Forsett and the Ravens have Joe Flacco at quarterback, who could easily keep the Dolphins honest and not allow them to just stack nine men in the box as they did at times against the Jets. 

Can Miami’s run defense recover? That will be the key to Sunday’s game, a game where the winner will have a big advantage in the fight for the AFC’s final playoff spot. 

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